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Comparing all-cause mortality rate by age group: vaccinated v unvaccinated

Updated: Oct 28, 2021

In a previous article we argued that to determine the overall risk-benefit of Covid-19 vaccines it is crucial to be able to compare the all-cause mortality rates between the vaccinated and unvaccinated in each different age category. However, current publicly available UK Government statistics do not include raw data on mortality by age category and vaccination status. Hence, we are unable to make the necessary comparison. In attempting to reverse engineer estimates of mortality by age category and vaccination status from the various relevant public Government datasets we found numerous discrepancies and inconsistencies which indicate that the Office for National Statistics reports on vaccine effectiveness are grossly underestimating the number of unvaccinated people. Hence, official statistics may be underestimating the mortality rates for vaccinated people in each age category. Although we have not subjected this data to statistical testing, the potential implications of these results on the effects of vaccination on all-cause mortality, and by implication, the future of the vaccination programme is profound.

Martin Neil, Norman Fenton and Scott McLachlan (2021), "Discrepancies and inconsistencies in UK Government datasets compromise accuracy of mortality rate comparisons between vaccinated and unvaccinated", [Update: there are errors in this version on ResearchGate). A significantly updated version of the paper is here]

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Have you done a study of all-cause mortality rates when Covid is excluded from the causes of death, ie "with", "from" and both?


Look for data from Denmark about all-cause excess deaths vs 2015-19 for 65+ years old.


Dear Dr Fenton and team,

Please continue with your work which is crucial for many of us experiencing the effects of vaccine mandates in terms of job termination, and the challenges of peer pressure being applied to young children to get vaccinated. We live in Australia and my wife has already lost her job, and the heat is wearing on our four young children. These dark and hot forces are closing in if I may put it so imaginatively. I admire your work as it is clear and to the point. You can't censor truth.


is this an error:

Given this, there is the possibility that as many as 22 million people, in week 26, were unvaccinated rather than the 9.5 million reported.

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